This was reported on Thursday, January 29, by the Financial Times, citing data from the analytical company Kpler.

It is noted that without new supplies, Cuba will have to impose even stricter restrictions on fuel consumption. At the same time, most of the country is already suffering from almost daily power outages.

Cuba has received only 84,900 barrels of oil this year, from the only Mexican supply on January 9. This is equivalent to 3,000 barrels per day instead of the average 37,000 barrels that the island received from all suppliers in 2025. Analysts believe that Cuba received oil at significant discounts or for free.

"We can say that Cuba will last 15-20 days if we add the January supply to the approximately 460,000 barrels that were in stock at the beginning of the year," said Kpler analyst Victoria Grabenweger.

On January 11, two days after the last shipment from Mexico and a week after the capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro by American troops, Trump promised that "no more oil" would go to Cuba.

"They're going to have a serious crisis if new supplies don't arrive in the coming weeks," said Jorge Pinyon, an oil expert at the University of Texas.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum did not deny on January 27 that her country had postponed the planned delivery for this month, calling it a "sovereign decision." However, the next day, she stated that she had not talked about stopping exports, and that oil supplies to Cuba were carried out under contracts with Pemex or as humanitarian aid. Analysts say that Mexico was stopped by the threat of seizure of its tankers if Trump decides to impose a complete naval blockade.

In December 2025, Venezuela was still exporting an average of almost 46,500 barrels per day to Cuba, but after Maduro's capture on January 3, supplies stopped completely. The last fuel for power plants from Venezuela arrived in November. Russia and Algeria, which previously supplied oil to Cuba, did so irregularly. The last Russian tanker arrived in October, and the Algerian tanker arrived in February 2025. korrespondent.net.

The island's economy is in decline, with tourism and sugar production declining. Teneo analyst Nicholas Watson believes that the economic crisis is capable of putting the Cuban regime on the brink of survival. Earlier, Trump said that Cuba would "fall soon," and added: "They received money from Venezuela, they received oil from Venezuela, now they don't get it."